Posts Tagged ‘Tom Brady’

Why The Indianapolis Colts Are Not Going to The Super Bowl This Year

November 12, 2009

76184544DV012_DETROITThe Colts are 8-0. Peyton Manning is arguably having the best year of his great career. The team is ranked in the top 10 in both offense and defense. A #1 seed in the playoffs is looking more and more likely at this point. With all that said, I’d be shocked if the Colts make it to the Super Bowl this season.

Why? Because this team needs Peyton Manning to play at a very high level to win just about any game they play. The Colts simply rely on Manning more than any other team relies on one player. And before anyone says Tom Brady keep in mind that the Patriots went 11-5 without him playing last year. Can anyone honestly say with a straight face that the Colts would finish 11-5 this year without Peyton Manning? Some might say that’s not really a bad thing because it shows just how good Manning is but I have to strongly disagree.

The Colts this year are near the bottom in rushing yards and attempts. Starting running back Joseph Addai is averaging just 3.4 yards a carry. In order to be a good running team you need to work at it which is something the Colts don’t seem to be very interested in doing. In last week’s 20-17 win against the Texans, Manning threw the ball an astounding 40 times in the first half. THE FIRST HALF. Because of that, and the Texans offense stumbling, the Colts outgained the Texans by a good margin in the first 2 quarters but were only leading 13-3 at halftime. The Colts got a couple breaks in the 2nd half and squeaked out the win against an up and coming team, but hardly an elite one right now.

Some might argue that the Patriots pass the ball a lot under Brady and they have a number of Super Bowl wins under their belt to show for it. There’s a couple key differences between the two teams. One, the Patriots have always (at least until recently) put more emphasis on the run than the Colts and two, the Patriots have always run a more controlled, safer passing game than the Colts. Brady, as great as he is, is part of the offensive system, complete with coaching and gameplanning to back him up, whereas Manning IS the Colts offensive system. Yes, the coaching staff does their job in Indianapolis but it’s ultimately Peyton Manning that’s out there calling the plays and running the show. That’s a ton of pressure on just one player. The Colts offense this year reminds me of a modified run and shoot offense. It’s amazing to watch Manning throw precise passes all over the field to blanketed WR’s but it doesn’t bode well for the playoffs. How well have pure passing teams done in the playoffs? Here’s a hint: Not very well.

Ironically, Manning had his worst postseason performance of his career when the Colts won the Super Bowl in 2006 (63% comp, 1034 yards, 3 TD’s, 7 INT’s, 70.5 QB rating). Manning did play well at times, but he also struggled, the difference in 2006 is the Colts had a running game to bail out Manning when he did struggle. Running back’s Joseph Addai and Dominic Rhodes averaged 4 and 5 yards a carry respectively and combined for 600 yards of rushing during the postseason that year.

Some might argue that the reason the Colts didn’t get to the Super Bowl in other years was because of a mediocre defense. While that may be true to a certain extent, in most of the Colt’s playoff losses under Manning the Colts offense failed to score over 20 points, with the opposing defenses keying in on Manning exclusively and successfully shutting him down. In four successive years from 2002 to 2005 the Colts lost 41-0 to the Jets, 24-14 to the Pats, 20-3 to the Pats and 21-18 to the Steelers. Last year the Colts lost 24-17 to the Chargers. The Colts offense wasn’t exactly lighting up the scoreboard in those games.

This year the Colts will not be getting 600 yards of rushing from their running game in the playoffs like in 2006 (they barely have over 600 rushing yards right now). The defense, while ranked in the top 10 in yards allowed, have some serious question marks in the secondary with two starters out of the lineup and a run defense that was gashed by the Dolphins for over 200 yards.

Peyton Manning may win another MVP award this year but the reason he wins it may also be a big reason the Colts don’t get to the Super Bowl.

What We Learned After Week 6 In The NFL

October 21, 2009

09000d5d81380e22_gallery_600Jeff Fisher might be coaching another team in a couple years. Too bad for the Titans.

Apparently the Pats think they’re playing Division I football and running up the score will get them placed higher in the Top 25. I don’t care if the Titans did give up in that game, going for it on fourth down in the second half is ridiculous. The Pats still have some problems but this game could be a warning to the rest of the league.

Eli Manning is not anywhere close to being an elite NFL QB without the help of a dominating running attack.

The Jets continue to show they may be in trouble the rest of the year with Mark Sanchez struggling as a rookie QB (as predicted on here weeks back).

The Steelers quietly have one of the most explosive offenses in the league.

The Ravens defense isn’t nearly as good as it used to be.

There’s some talent on the Raiders defense.

Norv Turner is outcoached for the 100th straight time in his career. San Diego may not make the playoffs. Turner should go back to being an offensive coordinator.

Ron Rivera may have been part of a great Bears defense as a linebacker in the 80’s, but he’s not doing a very good job with San Diego’s defense as defensive coordinator.

Seattle is probably not making the playoffs this year.

Kyle Orton is playing better and better each week for the Broncos.

Other observations –

With the NFL making more and more rule changes favoring offenses, we’re seeing a lot of 300 yard passing games from QB’s along with high completion percentages. There were 8 QB’s with over 300 yards of passing in Week 6. Along with that there were 5 or 6 other QB’s with numbers close to that. I honestly miss the days of seeing QB’s actually earn those numbers as opposed to being handed it by defenses not being allowed to play actual defense. I’m sure others, especially those that play Fantasy Football, would disagree.

It seems like the days of dominating defenses are coming to an end. There’s only so much defenses can do when they are being handcuffed by new rules and refs all too willing to throw the yellow flag on any kind of contact on passing situations.

Bobby’s Thoughts for the Week

October 9, 2009

I’m pretty sure that Favre is going to be 40 this weekend because Ron Jaworski kept saying that after every time Favre completed a pass in Monday’s game.

If they ever do a movie about Peyton ManningMatthew McConaughey should play him. And it should be a comedy.

If they ever do a movie about Tom Brady, Matt Damon should play him. And it should be a comedy directed by the Farrelly brothers.

If they ever do a movie about Jay Cutler (I don’t know why they would but if it happened) Harland Williams should play him. Were these guys separated at birth? Of course it would be comedy.

9597Harland Williams-2

Does Nerf still make footballs?

I wish Sports Illustrated still offered a football phone when you subscribed to their magazine. I’d subscribe. And then I’d cancel, but I’d have that sweet football phone.

Anyone stating that today’s QBs need to be protected as much as they are right now has no idea what football is all about.

What We Learned After Week 4 In The NFL

October 6, 2009

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JaMarcus Russell is still a horrible NFL QB.

The Raiders are still the Raiders.

If the Texans defense improves it’s play, they could sneak into the playoffs this year.

The Titans are this year’s surprise team, but not in a good way.

The 49ers are the clear cut favorites at this point to win the Stinker Division.

Dick Jauron is probably going to be on the hotseat in a couple weeks.

St. Louis is the worst team in the NFL, now that the Browns almost won a game.

The Buccaneers are bad, but not as bad the Rams.

The Bengals are 3-1and improved but still not that impressive.

Jim Mora, Jr. might not have been the best choice as head coach for the Seahawks.

The Seahawks have the most boring offense in the NFL.

Peyton Manning is having an incredible year so far.

The Colts might rely on Manning just a little too much.

The Chargers aren’t a very impressive team.

The Steelers seem incapable of winning comfortably even when outgaining their opponents 2-1 in yards and leading in the 2nd half, 28-0. Maybe they like to keep things exciting for the fans for all 4 quarters.

Games in Depth

Baltimore 21 vs. New England 27 – This game could’ve gone either way. At times it looked like the Patriots defense simply didn’t have an answer for the Ravens offense. Strangely, the Ravens didn’t run the ball much but should have(Ray Rice had 11 carries for 103 yards!). Tom Brady progressively played better as the game went on. The officiating in this game was simply horrible and the Pats benefitted from mostly bad one-sided calls throughout. The Ravens receivers are starting to show their age, Derrick Mason and Mark Clayton dropped passes deep in Pats territory on their last drive that resulted in a change of possession and the end of the game. It’s evident that both team’s defenses have some serious weaknesses (Pats against the run, the Ravens against the pass). Joe Flacco is the real deal, he had a few great passes in this game, including the sweet TD pass to Mason on a third and goal from around the 15 yard line.

New York Jets 10 vs. New Orleans 24 – The final score was not indicative of how close this game was. One of the more entertaining games of the year so far. The Saints defense looks like the real deal under new defensive coordinator, Gregg Williams. In fact, they look like a completely different defense than last year, aggressive, smart, fast. Free safety Darren Sharper looks like a great FA pick up and was huge in this game, returning a bad Mark Sanchez pass back for a TD. As I predicted last week, Sanchez struggled in this game and Jets fans, that trend could continue as the season goes on and more teams have game film of him. Rex Ryan’s prediction of a Jets Super Bowl appearance this year might be a year or two premature. The good news for the Jets is they did a pretty decent job on the Saints offense for most of the game. Saints running back Pierre Thomas is the real deal and is looking like one of the best RB’s in the league right now.

Dallas 10, vs. Denver 17 – Denver is 4-0 and that’s a shocker, even with their relatively easy schedule. The Cowboys talented defense played sloppily and undisciplined throughout this game. The Brandon Marshall TD pass and run should be an embarrassment to all involved in Cowboys country. The Broncos defense looks more and more impressive under ex-49ers coach, Mike Nolan. The Cowboys receivers had a hard time getting separation from an aggressive Broncos secondary. QB Tony Romo progressively played worse and worse as this game went on, throwing passes behind, in front, and high of his receivers. He laid out WR Roy Williams over the middle with an over throw, resulting in Williams leaving the game with an injury. This whole game reeked of a poorly coached game by Cowboys head coach Wade Philips.